Premier League table: Alternative standings after 16 matches, based on expected goals

Premier League table: Alternative standings after 16 matches, based on expected goals
Another Premier League gameweek is in the books and it gave us a big shift in the title race.Liverpool are now top of the table having defeated Bournemouth and then seen Chelsea beat Manchester City 2-0 at Stamford Bridge.Chelsea stars Ross Barkley and David Luiz celebrate against Manchester City.8
Chelsea stars Ross Barkley and David Luiz celebrate against Manchester City.
Given everyone had thought Pep Guardiola’s men had an air of invincibility about them, it’s certainly altered a few perceptions about how the season will pan out.And it’s put extra life into a title race which looked like it was going involve just two clubs, with Tottenham and Arsenal now both sniffing around Chelsea, Man City, and Liverpool. But how has this changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals?Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Burnley – real position = 17Real points = 9 | Expected points = 11.2419. Fulham – real position = 20Real points = 9 | Expected points = 12.0418. Newcastle – real position = 15Real points = 14 | Expected points = 13.52DeAndre Yedlin and his Newcastle team-mate look on in disbelief after he is handed a straight red card for a tackle on Diogo Jota8
DeAndre Yedlin and his Newcastle team-mate look on in disbelief after he is handed a straight red card for a tackle on Diogo Jota
17. Brighton – real position = 13Real points = 21 | Expected points = 14.4016. Huddersfield – real position = 18Real points = 10 | Expected points = 14.5015. Southampton – real position = 19Real points = 9 | Expected points = 17.6914. Cardiff – real position = 14Real points = 11 | Expected points = 18.18Cardiff City’s home form could keep them up8
Cardiff City’s home form could keep them up
13. Crystal Palace – real position = 16Real points = 12 | Expected points = 19.8112. West Ham – real position = 11Real points = 18 | Expected points = 20.36West Ham are finding their feet under Manuel Pellegrini8
West Ham are finding their feet under Manuel Pellegrini
11. Everton – real position = 7Real points = 23 | Expected points = 22.3510. Leicester – real position = 9Real points = 22 | Expected points = 23.129. Bournemouth – real position = 8Real points = 23 | Expected points = 23.288. Manchester United – real position = 6Real points = 23 | Expected points = 23.28Manchester United’s players gave Jose Mourinho a much-needed win8
Manchester United’s players gave Jose Mourinho a much-needed win
7. Watford – real position = 12Real points = 20 | Expected points = 23.796. Arsenal – real position = 5Real points = 31 | Expected points = 25.06Lucas Torreira won it for Arsenal late on against Huddersfield8
Lucas Torreira won it for Arsenal late on against Huddersfield
5. Wolves – real position = 10Real points = 19 | Expected points = 26.504. Tottenham – real position = 3Real points = 33 | Expected points = 27.57Dele Alli scored his 50th Tottenham goal against Leicester on Saturday8
Dele Alli scored his 50th Tottenham goal against Leicester on Saturday
3. Chelsea – real position = 4Real points = 31 | Expected points = 33.392. Liverpool – real position = 1Real points = 39 | Expected points = 34.47Mohamed Salah became the quickest Liverpool player in history to reach 40 Premier League goals8
Mohamed Salah became the quickest Liverpool player in history to reach 40 Premier League goals
1. Manchester City – real position = 2Real points = 41 | Expected points = 39.74

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